CBN Slashes Benchmark Rate to 27% – First Cut Since 2020 Sparks Growth Hope

CBN Slashes Benchmark Rate to 27% – First Cut Since 2020 Sparks Growth Hope

Why the CBN decided to cut rates

During its 302nd Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on September 22‑23, 2025, all twelve members voted to trim the benchmark monetary policy rate (MPR) by half a percentage point, bringing it down to CBN interest rate cut 27%. This marks the first reduction since the September 2020 meeting, ending a three‑meeting spell of unchanged rates.

The committee cited a string of positive macro‑economic signals. Inflation has been on a steady decline for five consecutive months, dropping to 20.12% in August – the lowest reading since July 2022. At the same time, the economy expanded by 4.23% year‑on‑year in the second quarter of 2025, the strongest pace since Q2 2021. A firmer naira against major currencies reduced import‑price pressures, further easing inflationary trends.

Beyond the headline cut, the MPC tweaked several auxiliary tools to improve liquidity and policy transmission:

  • Standing facilities corridor adjusted to +/- 250 basis points around the MPR, aimed at stabilising the interbank market.
  • Cash reserve requirement (CRR) for commercial banks lowered to 45%; merchant banks kept at 16%.
  • Introduced a 75% CRR on non‑TSA public‑sector deposits to guard against sudden outflows.
  • Liquidity ratio left unchanged at 30%.

These measures are designed to free up credit for businesses while preserving a safety net for the banking sector.

Implications for Nigeria’s economy

Implications for Nigeria’s economy

With the rate now at 27%, the CBN remains in historically high territory, but the modest easing signals a shift from pure inflation fighting to supporting growth. Lower borrowing costs could revive investment in sectors that have been dormant due to the previously tight monetary stance, such as manufacturing, construction, and small‑enterprise development.

For consumers, a reduced MPR may gradually translate into lower loan and mortgage rates, easing household debt burdens. However, the impact will depend on how quickly banks pass on the lower policy rate and how stable the naira remains amid global forex volatility.

The adjustment also reflects confidence in the central bank’s ability to balance two competing goals: keeping inflation on a downward trajectory while not choking the economy’s recovery. Historical context shows the current rate is only a fraction above the all‑time high of 27.5% reached in November 2024, yet still well above the long‑term average of 13.1% since 2007.

Investors are likely to watch the bond market closely. A softer rate environment could make Nigerian sovereign bonds more attractive, potentially lowering yields and reducing the cost of external borrowing. This, in turn, can free up fiscal space for the government to fund infrastructure projects without exacerbating debt sustainability concerns.

Finally, the policy shift may influence regional monetary dynamics. Neighboring economies grappling with similar inflation pressures could look to Nigeria’s approach as a case study for timing rate adjustments in tandem with currency stability and growth data.

Overall, the CBN’s decision underscores a cautious optimism: disinflation appears credible, economic momentum is building, and the central bank feels equipped to fine‑tune policy without derailing the recovery that has been gathering steam over the past year.

Comments

  • Dinesh Gupta

    Dinesh Gupta

    September 26, 2025 AT 23:20

    bro the cbn finally did smth useful 😭 27% still wild but at least its not 28% anymore. hope banks actually lower loans now and not just keep hoarding cash like last time.

  • Siphosethu Phike Phike

    Siphosethu Phike Phike

    September 28, 2025 AT 09:13

    This is huge for small businesses in Nigeria 🙌 Finally some breathing room! Hope this trickles down to the market women and artisans who’ve been drowning in debt. #GrowthIsHere

  • Ruth Ellis

    Ruth Ellis

    September 30, 2025 AT 08:56

    You people are delusional. Cutting rates in a country with zero fiscal discipline and a currency that’s held together by prayer and diesel smuggling? This isn’t policy-it’s suicide with a spreadsheet.

  • Amanda Dempsey

    Amanda Dempsey

    October 1, 2025 AT 12:20

    27% is still a robbery. Real rates should be below 5%. You’re not easing. You’re just lowering the torture level.

  • Lakshmi Narasimham

    Lakshmi Narasimham

    October 1, 2025 AT 20:52

    They lowered CRR but kept liquidity ratio same? Classic. They want banks to lend but not actually lend. This is how you pretend to fix things without fixing anything

  • Shalini Ambastha

    Shalini Ambastha

    October 1, 2025 AT 23:51

    I’ve seen this movie before. Inflation drops a bit, central bank panics, cuts rates, then inflation comes back harder because no one fixed the supply chains or the power issues. Hope I’m wrong but I’ve been wrong before and it still hurt.

  • Jessica Herborn

    Jessica Herborn

    October 3, 2025 AT 15:01

    I mean… if you believe in the sanctity of the market, then why are you still controlling liquidity ratios and standing facilities? This isn’t free market capitalism. It’s… what? Capitalism with a therapist? 🤔

  • Mitchell Ocran

    Mitchell Ocran

    October 4, 2025 AT 14:24

    This is all a distraction. The real story? The naira’s strength is fake. It’s backed by oil sales from shell companies tied to the military. When the next global shock hits, this whole house of cards collapses. Mark my words.

  • Todd Gehrke

    Todd Gehrke

    October 6, 2025 AT 11:54

    I’ve been saying this for YEARS! They’re just buying time! The bond market is going to implode! The dollar will surge! The banks will fail! And who’s gonna pay? YOU! The little guy! The working class! The ones who can’t afford to lose their savings! WHY WON’T ANYONE LISTEN?!?!?!

  • Amanda Kelly

    Amanda Kelly

    October 8, 2025 AT 00:22

    Let’s be honest. Nigeria’s central bank has more power than the president. And they’re using it to play financial chess with a population that can’t afford to lose a single pawn. This isn’t growth. It’s performance art for the IMF.

  • Peter Novák

    Peter Novák

    October 9, 2025 AT 07:06

    The MPC’s decision reflects a necessary recalibration. However, structural impediments-electricity, logistics, corruption-remain unaddressed. Rate cuts alone cannot substitute for institutional reform. The data may show momentum, but the foundations remain weak.

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